Acting: 16/20
Overall: 82/107 (76.6%, definitely higher than the last three years and most likely my best ever)
Picture 7/9
Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
The Shape of Water
Lady Bird
Dunkirk
Get Out
The Post
Call Me By Your Name
I missed: Darkest Hour; Phantom Thread
Predicted: I, Tonya; The Florida Project
Where I went wrong: I was unimpressed by Darkest Hour and thought it might miss on this nomination and I was just hopeful for The Florida Project. I never imagined Phantom Thread would be nominated.
I missed: Darkest Hour; Phantom Thread
Predicted: I, Tonya; The Florida Project
Where I went wrong: I was unimpressed by Darkest Hour and thought it might miss on this nomination and I was just hopeful for The Florida Project. I never imagined Phantom Thread would be nominated.
Director 3/5
Guillermo del Toro - The Shape of Water
Christopher Nolan - Dunkirk
Greta Gerwig - Lady Bird
I missed: Paul Thomas Anderson - Phantom Thread; Jordan Peele - Get Out
Predicted: Martin McDonagh - Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri; Luca Guadagnino - Call Me By Your Name
Where I went wrong: The smart money said Jordan Peele, but something told me he would miss the directing nomination in favor of Guadagnino. I was wrong there. Like the Best Picture nomination, I never ever ever would have guessed Anderson would be nominated for Phantom Thread.
Actress 5/5
Frances McDormand - Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Sally Hawkins - The Shape of Water
Saoirse Ronan - Lady Bird
Margot Robbie - I, Tonya
Meryl Streep - The Post
Actor 4/5
Gary Oldman - Darkest Hour
Timothee Chalamet - Call Me By Your Name
Daniel Day Lewis - Phantom Thread
Daniel Kaluuya - Get Out
I missed: Denzel Washington - Roman J. Israel, Esq.
Predicted: James Franco - The Disaster Artist
Where I went wrong: Washington was on a few prediction lists I saw, but I never saw him as a serious contender. The movie came and went with very poor reviews. This is an unusual nomination. His performance must be extraordinary.
I missed: Denzel Washington - Roman J. Israel, Esq.
Predicted: James Franco - The Disaster Artist
Where I went wrong: Washington was on a few prediction lists I saw, but I never saw him as a serious contender. The movie came and went with very poor reviews. This is an unusual nomination. His performance must be extraordinary.
Supporting Actress 4/5
Allison Janney - I, Tonya
Laurie Metcalf - Lady Bird
Mary J. Blige - Mudbound
Octavia Spencer - The Shape of Water
I missed: Lesley Manville - Phantom Thread
Predicted: Holly Hunter - The Big Sick
I missed: Lesley Manville - Phantom Thread
Predicted: Holly Hunter - The Big Sick
Where I went wrong: Same as in Best Picture and Director, I severely underestimated the Academy's love for Phantom Thread.
Supporting Actor 3/5
Sam Rockwell - Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Willem Dafoe - The Florida Project
Richard Jenkins - The Shape of Water
I missed: Woody Harrelson - Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri; Christopher Plummer - All the Money in the World.
Predicted: Michael Stuhlbarg - Call Me By Your Name; Armie Hammer - Call Me By Your Name
Where I went wrong: Well, this was kind of a guessing game after the three names I picked correctly. It was as likely to be any combination of those four names, I'd say. I left Plummer off because I just didn't think the movie was good enough.
Where I went wrong: Well, this was kind of a guessing game after the three names I picked correctly. It was as likely to be any combination of those four names, I'd say. I left Plummer off because I just didn't think the movie was good enough.
Adapted Screenplay 4/5
Call Me By Your Name
Mudbound
Molly's Game
The Disaster Artist
I missed: Logan
Predicted: Wonder
I missed: Logan
Predicted: Wonder
Where I went wrong: Logan was on my radar as a contender for a nomination, but a lot more people were calling the fifth spot for Wonder, which I haven't seen.
Original Screenplay 5/5
Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Lady Bird
Get Out
The Shape of Water
The Big Sick
Animated Feature 4/5
Coco
Loving Vincent
The Breadwinner
The Boss Baby
I missed: Ferdinand
Predicted: The LEGO Batman Movie
I missed: Ferdinand
Predicted: The LEGO Batman Movie
Where I went wrong: I haven't seen Ferdinand and thought perhaps its middling reviews suggested it wouldn't make the cut.
Cinematography 4/5
Blade Runner 2049
Dunkirk
The Shape of Water
Mudbound
I missed: Darkest Hour
Predicted: Call Me By Your Name
I missed: Darkest Hour
Predicted: Call Me By Your Name
Where I went wrong: Underestimated Academy love for Darkest Hour, a perception colored by my own distaste for the movie.
Costume Design 3/5
Phantom Thread
Beauty and the Beast
Victoria and Abdul
I missed: Darkest Hour; The Shape of Water
Predicted: The Greatest Showman; Murder on the Orient Express
Where I went wrong: Didn't think The Shape of Water would be nominated for basically everything. Didn't think Darkest Hour worthy of so much Oscar attention.
I missed: Darkest Hour; The Shape of Water
Predicted: The Greatest Showman; Murder on the Orient Express
Where I went wrong: Didn't think The Shape of Water would be nominated for basically everything. Didn't think Darkest Hour worthy of so much Oscar attention.
Film Editing 4/5
Dunkirk
The Shape of Water
Baby Driver
I, Tonya
I missed: Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Predicted: Blade Runner 2049
I missed: Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Predicted: Blade Runner 2049
Makeup & Hairstyling 2/3
Darkest Hour
Wonder
I missed: Victoria & Abdul
Predicted: Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2
I missed: Victoria & Abdul
Predicted: Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2
Production Design 4/5
The Shape of Water
Blade Runner 2049
Beauty and the Beast
Darkest Hour
I missed: Dunkirk
Predicted: The Post
I missed: Dunkirk
Predicted: The Post
Original Score 5/5
Alexandre Desplat - The Shape of Water
Hans Zimmer - Dunkirk
Johnny Greenwood - Phantom Thread
Carter Burwell - Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
John Williams - Star Wars: The Last Jedi
Original Song 4/5
"Remember Me" from Coco
"This Is Me" from The Greatest Showman
"The Mystery of Love" from Call Me By Your Name
"Mighty River" from Mudbound
I missed: "Stand Up for Something" from Marshall
Predicted: "Evermore" from Beauty and the Beast
I missed: "Stand Up for Something" from Marshall
Predicted: "Evermore" from Beauty and the Beast
Sound Editing 4/5
Dunkirk
Baby Driver
Blade Runner 2049
Star Wars: The Last Jedi
I missed: The Shape of Water
Predicted: Wonder Woman
I missed: The Shape of Water
Predicted: Wonder Woman
Sound Mixing 4/5
Dunkirk
Blade Runner 2049
Baby Driver
The Shape of Water
I missed: Star Wars: The Last Jedi
Predicted: Beauty and the Beast
I missed: Star Wars: The Last Jedi
Predicted: Beauty and the Beast
Visual Effects 3/5
Blade Runner 2049
Star Wars: The Last Jedi
War for the Planet of the Apes
I missed: Kong: Skull Island; Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2
Predicted: Dunkirk; Okja
I missed: Kong: Skull Island; Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2
Predicted: Dunkirk; Okja
Documentary Feature 3/5
Last Men in Aleppo
Faces Places
Abacus: Small Enough to Jail
I missed: Icarus; Strong Island
Predicted: City of Ghosts; Jane
Foreign Language Film 3/5
Chile - A Fantastic Woman
Sweden - The Square
Lebanon - The Insult
I missed: Russia - Loveless; Hungary - On Body and Soul
Predicted: Germany - In the Fade; Israel - Foxtrot
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