Wednesday, February 1, 2017

Quick Oscar Predictions for 89th Academy Awards (not final)

So these should not be considered my final predictions for the winners at the 89th Academy Awards, but my instinct upon the announcement of all the nominees.

Many of these predictions are likely to remain the same on my final list a few days before the ceremony and some will change. Some have already changed, in fact, but these are what I picked on January 24.

Picture
La La Land - it's got momentum and a lot of love. It's a happy story, it's vibrant and exciting. It's the kind of thing people want to vote for. Plus it's about Hollywood, which Hollywood loves.

Director
Damien Chazelle - La La Land - this choice may change over the next three weeks, but don't count on it. A significant part of what makes this movie so wonderful is Chazelle's direction.

Actress
Isabelle Huppert - Elle - because of her Golden Globe win (a bit of a surprise, actually), this is my snapshot impression, although I may go with another choice in the end as momentum swings in a different direction.

Actor
Casey Affleck - Manchester by the Sea - the smart money says he will win as he's won so many precursor awards, but this is shaping up to be unpredictable like the Best Actress category. Can't remember the last time there wasn't a foregone conclusion in at least one of the lead acting categories.

Supporting Actress
Viola Davis - Fences - unlikely to change

Supporting Actor
Mahershala Ali - Moonlight - unlikely to change

Original Screenplay
Manchester by the Sea - I could waver on this one, but probably not

Adapted Screenplay
Moonlight

Animated Feature
Moana - this could go another direction

Film Editing
La La Land

Production Design
Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them

Cinematography
La La Land

Costume Design
La La Land

Original Score
La La Land

Original Song
"City of Stars" from La La Land

Makeup and Hairstyling
Suicide Squad

Sound Mixing
La La Land

Sound Editing
Hacksaw Ridge

Visual Effects
Doctor Strange

Foreign Language Film
The Salesman from Iran

Documentary Feature
13th

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