Thursday, February 22, 2018

How'd I Do? 90th Academy Awards Edition

Top 8 categories: 35/44 (79.5%, so that's lower than the last two years)
Acting: 16/20
Overall: 82/107 (76.6%, definitely higher than the last three years and most likely my best ever)

Picture 7/9

Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
The Shape of Water
Lady Bird
Get Out
The Post
Call Me By Your Name

I missed: Darkest HourPhantom Thread
Predicted: I, TonyaThe Florida Project

Where I went wrong: I was unimpressed by Darkest Hour and thought it might miss on this nomination and I was just hopeful for The Florida Project. I never imagined Phantom Thread would be nominated.

Saturday, January 20, 2018

90th Academy Awards Nomination Predictions

Ok, here we go with my nomination predictions for the 90th Academy Awards which will be announced the morning of January 23.

Predictions in all categories are listed in the likelihood I believe they have for a nomination

Let's start off with the deadlock guarantees:

Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
The Shape of Water
Lady Bird

The category can have anywhere from 5 to 10 nominees. Since they started that practice for the 84th Awards there have always been either 8 or 9 nominees. Because of the preferential voting system the Academy uses in this category, it is very difficult to wind up with 10 nominees.

My next three are very safe bets:

Get Out
The Post
Call Me By Your Name

After that it gets murkier. I'm going with a 9 nominee field this year rounded out by:

I, Tonya
The Florida Project

I'm going out on a limb with that last one. Darkest Hour is probably more likely to be nominated than either of my last two picks and The Big Sick has a strong following, but I just can't believe enough people will stand behind those mediocre films masquerading as great.

Wednesday, November 29, 2017

From My Collection: The 5,000 Fingers of Dr. T Movie Review

Way back in the mid-1950s Theodore Geisel wrote a screenplay. If you don’t know who Geisel is, you probably know him by his pseudonym Dr. Seuss. Yes, that Dr. Seuss. The one who wrote about fifty children’s rhyming books between 1937 and 1990, all of which take place in fantastic worlds populated by bizarre creatures from the mind of a genius. His screenplay, for which he also conceived the story, is The 5,000 Fingers of Dr. T.

It is a scarcely remembered movie, with barely even a cult following, that I first came upon as a freshman in college, where the Film Society made it the first in a Halloween double feature with The Rocky Horror Picture Show. I loved it that first time I saw it and again the next year again (when I became president of the Film Society I could no longer justify the $250 rental fee with only about $20 in ticket sales). But I returned to it again recently with my son, who is well-versed in many of Seuss’s books.

Wednesday, August 9, 2017

Everything I Saw in the First Half of 2017

28.6 Baby Driver (2017) [cinema]
27.6 "Twin Peaks: The Return - Part 8" (2017) [Showtime streaming]
21-22.6 Frantz (2017) [DVD]
21.6 Alien: Resurrection (1997) [DVD]*
19.6 "Twin Peaks: The Return - Part 7" (2017) [Showtime streaming]
17-18.6 Alien 3 (1992) [DVD]*
15.6 The Great Wall (2017) [Blu-Ray]
13-14.6 A Cure for Wellness (2017) [Blu-Ray]
13.6 "Twin Peaks: The Return - Part 6" (2017) [Showtime streaming]
10-13.6 Aliens (1986) [Blu-Ray]*
7.6 Alien (1979) [Blu-Ray]*
6.6 Wonder Woman (2017) [cinema]

Sunday, February 26, 2017

89th Academy Awards - final predictions

Now that I've seen every single Oscar-nominated movie (with one small exception that I will get to before the show tonight), I'm ready to make my final predictions.

La La Land

Damien Chazelle - La La Land

Wednesday, February 1, 2017

Quick Oscar Predictions for 89th Academy Awards (not final)

So these should not be considered my final predictions for the winners at the 89th Academy Awards, but my instinct upon the announcement of all the nominees.

Many of these predictions are likely to remain the same on my final list a few days before the ceremony and some will change. Some have already changed, in fact, but these are what I picked on January 24.

La La Land - it's got momentum and a lot of love. It's a happy story, it's vibrant and exciting. It's the kind of thing people want to vote for. Plus it's about Hollywood, which Hollywood loves.

Damien Chazelle - La La Land - this choice may change over the next three weeks, but don't count on it. A significant part of what makes this movie so wonderful is Chazelle's direction.

Isabelle Huppert - Elle - because of her Golden Globe win (a bit of a surprise, actually), this is my snapshot impression, although I may go with another choice in the end as momentum swings in a different direction.

Casey Affleck - Manchester by the Sea - the smart money says he will win as he's won so many precursor awards, but this is shaping up to be unpredictable like the Best Actress category. Can't remember the last time there wasn't a foregone conclusion in at least one of the lead acting categories.

Supporting Actress
Viola Davis - Fences - unlikely to change

Supporting Actor
Mahershala Ali - Moonlight - unlikely to change

Original Screenplay
Manchester by the Sea - I could waver on this one, but probably not

Adapted Screenplay

Animated Feature
Moana - this could go another direction

Film Editing
La La Land

Production Design
Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them

La La Land

Costume Design
La La Land

Original Score
La La Land

Original Song
"City of Stars" from La La Land

Makeup and Hairstyling
Suicide Squad

Sound Mixing
La La Land

Sound Editing
Hacksaw Ridge

Visual Effects
Doctor Strange

Foreign Language Film
The Salesman from Iran

Documentary Feature

Tuesday, January 24, 2017

How'd I Do? 89th Academy Awards Edition

I scored 17/20 in the acting categories, which is 2 choices down from last year. In the top 8 (acting, directing, screenplay, and picture) I got 36/44. That's a minor statistical improvement over last year when I got 35/43. That's a jump from 81.3% to 81.8%.

Throughout the entire field I scored 79/107 or 73.8%

Picture 7/9

Hell or High Water
La La Land
Manchester by the Sea

I missed: Hacksaw Ridge and Hidden Figures
Predicted: Loving