Thursday, January 10, 2013

How Did I Do (2013) Edition - Or 85th Oscar Nominations Reactions

Full list of nominees here.

Cloud Atlas and The Dark Knight Rises totally shut out of all categories. Really expected a technical award somewhere for each, or at least one of them.

Not counting the Foreign Language Film, Documentary, and Short Subjects categories, 29 different films received nominations. Lincoln leads with 12, followed by Life of Pi with 11, Les Miserables with 8, Argo with 7. 

How did I do in my predictions?

In the top 8 categories I correctly guessed 36/44 (81.8%). That's much better than last year, but not quite as good as two years ago.
If I include Animated Feature as a top category, then I've got 40/49 (81.6%)

Across all categories I got 76/107 (71%).

I got only 2/5 for Director. But I scored an astounding 18/20 in the acting categories and 8/10 in the Screenplay categories.

Picture  8/9
Though I predicted all 9 of the nominees, I had also predicted one more nominee for a total of 10.

Argo
Lincoln
Les Miserables
Zero Dark Thirty
Silver Linings Playbook
Life of Pi
Amour
Beasts of the Southern Wild
Django Unchained

predicted but not nominated: The Impossible

Director  2/5
Benh Zeitlin is the big surprise here. Virtually no one was listing him as a serious prediction. A possible spoiler, yes. And the exclusion of both Kathryn Bigelow and Ben Affleck is truly shocking. Bigelow would have been the first woman twice nominated for Best Director.

Michael Haneke - Amour (not predicted)
Steven Spielberg - Lincoln
Ang Lee - Life of Pi
David O. Russell - Silver Linings Playbook (not predicted)
Benh Zeitlin - Beasts of the Southern Wild (not predicted)

predicted but not nominated: Ben Affleck - Argo; Kathryn Bigelow - Zero Dark Thirty; Tom Hooper - Les Miserables

Actress  5/5
The oldest and the youngest nominees ever in this category (Riva and Wallis) were nominated. And both are the only first time nominees of these five.

Jennifer Lawrence - Silver Linings Playbook
Jessica Chastain - Zero Dark Thirty
Naomie Watts - The Impossible
Emmanuelle Riva - Amour
Quvenzhane Wallis - Beasts of the Southern Wild

Actor 4/5
I had thought if Phoenix made the list it would be Washington to lose out, but John Hawkes didn't make the cut.

Daniel Day Lewis - Lincoln
Bradley Cooper - Silver Linings Playbook
Hugh Jackman - Les Miserables
Joaquin Phoenix - The Master (not predicted)
Denzel Washington - Flight

predicted but not nominated: John Hawkes - The Sessions

Supporting Actress 4/5
Weaver's inclusion means Silver Linings Playbook becomes the first film since Reds to score nominations in all four acting categories. I didn't think she would make it.
Anne Hathaway - Les Miserables
Sally Field - Lincoln
Helen Hunt - The Sessions
Amy Adams - The Master
Jacki Weaver - Silver Linings Playbook (not predicted)

predicted but not nominated: Maggie Smith - The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel

Supporting Actor 5/5
All five nominees have won acting Oscars in the past. Four of them have won in this category.

1. Tommy Lee Jones - Lincoln
2. Philip Seymour Hoffman - The Master
3. Christoph Waltz - Django Unchained
4. Robert DeNiro - Silver Linings Playbook
5. Alan Arkin - Argo

Adapted Screenplay 4/5


Lincoln
Argo
Silver Linings Playbook
Life of Pi (not predicted)
Beasts of the Southern Wild

predicted but not nominated: The Perks of Being a Wallflower

Original Screenplay 4/5

Zero Dark Thirty
Amour
Flight (not predicted)
Moonrise Kingdom
Django Unchained

predicted but not nominated: The Master

Animated Feature 4/5

Frankenweenie
Wreck-It Ralph
Brave
ParaNorman
The Pirates! Band of Misfits (not predicted)

predicted but not nominated: From Up on Poppy Hill

Foreign Language Film 4/5
I thought The Intouchables was a wonderful film that deserved nominations for Original Screenplay, Supporting Actor, and Actor. I didn't expect any of those, but I did expect it in this category and I am supremely disappointed by its exclusion.

Amour
A Royal Affair
No
Kon-Tiki
War Witch (not predicted)

predicted but not nominated: The Intouchables

Documentary Feature 4/5

Searching for Sugar Man
How to Survive a Plague
The Gatekeepers
The Invisible War
5 Broken Cameras (not predicted)

predicted but not nominated: Bully

Film Editing 4/5

Lincoln
Argo
Zero Dark Thirty
Life of Pi
Silver Linings Playbook (not predicted)

predicted but not nominated: Skyfall

Cinematography 2/5
Lincoln
Skyfall
Django Unchained (not predicted)
Life of Pi (not predicted)
Anna Karenina (not predicted)

predicted but not nominated: Zero Dark Thirty; The Dark Knight Rises; The Master

Production Design 4/5

Les Miserables
Anna Karenina
Lincoln
The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey
Life of Pi (not predicted)

predicted but not nominated: Cloud Atlas

Costume Design 4/5
Surprised Colleen Atwood wasn't nominated for her work on Dark Shadows as Tim Burton's movies have almost always been nominated in either this category or for Production Design. However, Atwood was nominated for her work on Snow White and the Huntsman.

Lincoln
Anna Karenina
Les Miserables
Mirror Mirror
Snow White and the Huntsman (not predicted)

predicted but not nominated: Dark Shadows

Original Score 3/5

Lincoln - John Williams
Life of Pi - Mychael Danna
Anna Karenina - Dario Marianelli
Argo - Alexandre Desplat (not predicted)
Skyfall - Thomas Newman (not predicted)

predicted but not nominated: Beasts of the Southern Wild - Dan Romer and Benh Zeitlin; Zero Dark Thirty - Alexandre Desplat

Original Song 2/5

"Suddenly" from Les Miserables
"Skyfall" from Skyfall
"Before My Time" from Chasing Ice (not predicted)
"Everybody Needs a Best Friend" from Ted (not predicted)
"Pi's Lullaby" from Life of Pi (not predicted)

predicted but not nominated:
"Ancora Qui" from Django Unchained
"Learn Me Right" from Brave
"Still Alive" from Paul Williams Still Alive

Makeup and Hairstyling 1/3
Hitchcock
Les Miserables (not predicted)

The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey (not predicted)


predicted but not nominated: Lincoln; Men in Black 3

Sound Mixing 2/5
Les Miserables
Skyfall
Lincoln (not predicted)
Argo (not predicted)
Life of Pi (not predicted)

predicted but not nominated: Zero Dark ThirtyThe Hobbit: An Unexpected JourneyThe Dark Knight Rises

Sound Editing 2/5
Zero Dark Thirty
Skyfall
Django Unchained (not predicted)
Life of Pi (not predicted)
Argo (not predicted)

predicted but not nominated: The Hobbit: An Unexpected JourneyThe AvengersThe Dark Knight Rises

Visual Effects 4/5
Life of Pi
The Avengers
Snow White and the Huntsman
The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey
Prometheus (not predicted)

predicted but not nominated: Cloud Atlas

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