97th Academy Awards nomination predictions

Best Picture

Anora

The Brutalist

A Complete Unknown

Conclave

Dune: Part Two

Emilia Pérez

A Real Pain

Sing Sing

The Substance

Wicked

Best Director

Jacques Audiard - Emilia Pérez

Sean Baker - Anora

Edward Berger - Conclave

Brady Corbet - The Brutalist

Coralie Fargeat - The Substance

Best Actress

Cynthia Erivo - Wicked

Karla Sofia Gascón - Emilia Pérez

Marianne Jean-Baptiste - Hard Truths

Mikey Madison - Anora

Demi Moore - The Substance

Best Actor

Adrien Brody - The Brutalist

Timothee Chalamet - A Complete Unknown

Daniel Craig - Queer

Colman Domingo - Sing Sing

Ralph Fiennes - Conclave

Best Supporting Actress

Monica Barbaro - A Complete Unknown

Ariana Grande - Wicked

Jamie Lee Curtis - The Last Showgirl

Isabella Rossellini - Conclave

Zoe Saldaña - Emilia Pérez

Best Supporting Actor

Yura Borisov - Anora

Kieran Culkin - A Real Pain

Edward Norton - A Complete Unknown

Guy Pearce - The Brutalist

Jeremy Strong - The Apprentice

Adapted Screenplay

A Complete Unknown

Conclave

Emilia Pérez

Nickel Boys

Sing Sing

Original Screenplay

Anora

The Brutalist

Hard Truths

A Real Pain

The Substance

Animated Feature

Flow

Inside Out 2

Memoir of a Snail

Wallace & Gromit: Vengeance Most Fowl

The Wild Robot

International Feature

Emilia Pérez from France

Flow from Latvia

I'm Still Here from Brazil

Kneecap from Ireland

The Seed of the Sacred Fig from Germany

Documentary Feature

Daughters

No Other Land

Porcelain War

Soundtrack to a Coup d'Etat

Sugarcane

Production Design

The Brutalist

Dune: Part Two

Gladiator II

Nosferatu

Wicked

Cinematography

The Brutalist

Conclave

Dune: Part Two

Maria

Nosferatu

Costume Design

Beetlejuice Beetlejuice

Dune: Part Two

Gladiator II

Nosferatu

Wicked

Film Editing

Anora

The Brutalist

Challengers

Conclave

Dune: Part Two

Makeup and Hairstyling

Beetlejuice Beetlejuice

A Different Man

Emilia Pérez

The Substance

Wicked

Original Score

The Brutalist

Challengers

Conclave

Emilia Pérez

The Wild Robot

Original Song

"Compress/Repress" from Challengers

"El Mal" from Emilia Pérez

"Mi Camino" from Emilia Pérez

"The Journey" from The Six Triple Eight

"Kiss the Sky" from The Wild Robot

Sound

A Complete Unknown

Dune: Part Two

Emilia Pérez

Gladiator II

Wicked

Visual Effects

Dune: Part Two

Gladiator II

Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes

Mufasa: The Lion King

Wicked

How'd I Do? 93rd Academy Awards Nominations Edition

I got 36 out of 43 in the top eight categories. That's 83.7%. Getting 19/20 in the acting categories made up for the fact that I went only 6/8 on Best Picture and 3/5 on Best Adapted Screenplay. I was right about only 8 Best Picture nominees, though.

My overall score was 77/102 (75.5%) After 5 straight years of improving my prediction accuracy, I have fallen back a bit.

Picture (6/8)

Mank

Minari

Nomadland

Promising Young Woman

Sound of Metal

The Trial of the Chicago 7

missed: The Father; Judas and the Black Messiah

predicted: Ma Rainey's Black Bottom; One Night in Miami

93rd Academy Awards Nomination Predictions

Picture

Ma Rainey's Black Bottom

Mank

Minari

Nomadland

One Night in Miami

Promising Young Woman

Sound of Metal

The Trial of the Chicago 7

Everything I Saw in the 2nd Half of 2020

The back half of 2020 was a very unusual period of viewing for me, owing of course to the

pandemic. 54 total feature films is low for me, but not too far off the norm. The real difference

was that a lot of those were repeats or revisits. I only watched 18 features films I'd never seen

before. And this was the first 6 month period since probably 1986 that I didn't see any movies

in the theater. I only saw 8 in all of 2020, which was probably my lowest number since maybe

1989 or 1990.

So where did my time go? TV shows! I tracked 161 episodes watched and that doesn't include

anything I watched in late night syndication like Seinfeld, Friends, and The Honeymooners!

Everything I Saw in the First Half of 2020

Viewing habits strong affected by the start of the pandemic obviously. Everything went

into complete 

by mid-March. Therefore I saw a very limited number of movies in the

cinema. The total number of features I saw remained consistent with recent trends in

my viewing, but having basically every night available to watch something meant I spent

a lot of time with streaming services and started what would become nearly two years

of gorging myself on TV series. I began a rewatch of The Wire and also watched a lot of

Friends and Seinfeld through their syndicated runs on post-primetime TV. I didn't keep

track of the syndicated episodes I caught, but most weeknights I watched at least one

Seinfeld and one Friends.

How'd I Do? 92nd Academy Awards nominations edition

I nailed 39/44 (88.6%) in the top eight categories.
I got 17/20 in the acting categories, equal to 3 years ago and 1 better than the last two years.
Overall I got 87/109 (79.8%)

Picture 9/9

Once Upon a Time...in Hollywood

Parasite

Marriage Story

Little Women

1917

The Irishman

Joker

Ford v. Ferrari

Jojo Rabbit

92nd Academy Awards nomination predictions

Picture

Once Upon a Time...in Hollywood

Parasite

Marriage Story

Little Women

1917

The Irishman

Joker

Ford v. Ferrari

Jojo Rabbit